Sunday, June 9, 2013

Sports data analysis: The next big thing in sport!

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With the release of the movie and the book Moneyball, sports  and data analytics has caught up and  is now the biggest trend in the world of sports.
It was  popularized by  baseball and now found its way into basketball, Cricket  American football, Football(Soccer), tennis and many other sports too.


But hey, what is sports and data analytics. I don't really understand?

Well, then you are not alone. Sports and data analysis is heavily used by leagues in US but it is still in its early stages of adoption worldwide.
Let us try and understand  what is data analytics in isolation and then later relate it to sports. Fair enough?

Data analysis is a mechanism to collect and analyze data that is generated to deliver better information, more efficiently, for  decision making.

To make it more clear, Let us take the example of Facebook, the most used social networking website. You would have observed the ads that appear of the right side of the page. Now if you have ever wondered, how are the ads so relevant to you? Ans: It is because of data analysis.
Facebook stores most of your personal information,  your age, location, sex, marital status, interest, pages you like, places you visit and so on.
This information is then  used to ad targeting. e.g. Dating website ad is show to people who are 'single' and not to people who are 'married' or already in a relationship or  a women inner wear brand will be targeted to women and not necessarily to men or boys.  These examples are simple and straightforward. However the professional data analysts would try and extract much richer patterns using more parameters to take decisions or to come up with valuable insights.

Data analytics in sports

Let's try and map it to Football, the most popular sport in the world. Do you remember the penalty shootout in the match between Bayern Munich and Chelsea in the champions league final 2012? If you are a Chelsea fan, you definitely would. Nonetheless, Petr Čech the Chelsea goalkeeper dived in the correct direction every single time in the penalty shootout before finally stopping one from Ivica Olic. Yes, the Germans lost to and English club in penalties. Something unheard of.
How do you think all this happened?  Petr Čech is a competent goalkeeper but part of this credit goes to data analysis because he had  watched 2 hours of penalty videos of most Munich players before the match and the team analyst provide him with exact data of each Bayern player. Most football clubs in the world analyze such data of opponents  from their previous matches or from training sessions. Such reports would provide data related to a player like, direction in which he is most likely to score, which is very helpful information. However, few players like Fernando Torres mix it up well. He scores almost equally to the left of the keeper as to his right. So, stats related to direction would not help the opponent goalkeeper as much. However, 76% of his penalties are on low along the ground and not in air. And most likely in a world cup final under pressure he would use his most successful shot. And guess what, the opponent goalkeeper already has that information. Helpful isn't it?  "In future, footballers might not take free kicks trying to place it into top corner, but pass the ball as the current success rate of scoring from outside the box during a free kick is a mere 2% or Liverpool might stop crossing the ball every single time as they used 421 open play cross to convert one in the season 2011-12" says Simon Kuper, well known British sports journalist and author in Sports Analytics Conference at Manchester Business school earlier this year.
In cricket, stats about batsman's high scoring areas, pressure-release shot,  a bowler's % of slower balls in a t20 match, stats on length, runs conceded
against a left vs. right handed batsmen, all this data can be collected, mined and provided to coach by data analysts.

Combining this with sports biomechanics to track player movements and physical characteristics such as heart rate to measure fitness and predict future performance of individual players, takes sports to all different level. The data  collected of a player can help coach take appropriate decisions in selection and strategies during matches. The impact of such approach is different in different sport based on the format of the sport.




There would be one section of people wondering if this scientific  approach is conclusive and will replace gut instinct of a player or a coach in world sport?


Big question: Is art chosen over science?

This is the most frequently asked question asked by traditional coaches and ex successful players who have played their game without the aid of such technology.

Answer is NO.  Science is not here to kill the art of sport but to complement it.

The science  does not guarantee  result in any case, but it increases the chance to succeed, helping players and coaches to take well informed decisions.
It is important to know that this  method of collecting and analyzing data in sports  is not here to substitute a physical coach or a manager but to  complement the current coaching styles and take sport to next level.

It is most effective when gut instinct and detailed studied analysis are combined to take decisions.


Organizations  and third parties

Such statistical data is used for in-depth match analysis, talent identification, scouting analysis and various other training and programs. Most of the sporting clubs  in US, European football clubs and IPL franchisees in India are already making use of such analytics. Opta Sports, has recently signed contract with ICC and Premier league as official data providers. Prozone sports and SportsMechanics are 2 of the many companies in the world who provide video and data analysis services to various elite sporting clubs and organizations.


The Future

Technologists round the world predict that concepts such as big data[in simple terms: ability to collect and analyze the vast amounts of data,] will be bigger than internet and will impact everyone's life. The most common phrase used is that "Data is the new oil".  It’s valuable, but if unrefined it cannot really be used.  Data be broken down, analyzed for it to have value.  You might be intrigued to know how US retailer Target used data analysis to  know about pregnancy of  a women before her family knew it. Check it out


Al in all, interesting times ahead and  it is matter of time before sports and data analytics becomes intrinsic part of all sporting clubs and organizations across the world.

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